Credit: Laura Gómez, Arizona Mirror

Arizona voters will get the final say on Gov. Doug Ducey’s legacy income tax cut package that was signed into law earlier this year, after a coalition of public education groups successfully forced a public vote in 2022.

The Secretary of State’s Office announced Friday that the referendum effort gathered more than the 118,823 signatures needed to block the tax cuts from going into effect unless voters approve them next year. It will be called Proposition 307, said Sophia Solis, spokesperson for the Secretary of State’s Office.

Ducey’s income tax cuts, which serve as his legacy policy achievement during his two terms as governor, dramatically reform Arizona’s tax system. Instead of a progressively graduated system with a maximum rate of 4.5%, Arizona will shift to two income tax rates: 2.55% for people who earn $27,272 annually and 2.98% for those who earn more than that. The tax law changes in Senate Bill 1828 also create a single 2.5% rate as soon as 2023 if state revenues hit certain triggers. 

Legislative budget analysts concluded that it would cost the state about $1 billion annually. And while all taxpayers would see a reduction in income taxes, the wealthy receive the largest benefit: the poorest Arizonans would save $1 a year while the wealthiest would keep an average of nearly $350,000. The typical Arizona family would save about $42 a year, on average.

The tax cuts were designed to shield the wealthy Arizonans from the Invest in Education Act that voters approved in 2020. That voter-approved measure, also known as Proposition 208, imposes a 3.5% surcharge on income greater than $250,000 for individuals and $500,000 for couples, with the money directed to public schools to increase teacher pay and boost overall funding. 

Prop. 208 will likely never go into effect. The Arizona Supreme Court ruled in August that it’s subject to the Arizona Constitution’s spending limits for K-12 education, setting the stage for a new trial court ruling that is expected to invalidate the measure. 

The legislative analysis shows that Arizona families making less than $100,000 a year will see single-digit percentage reductions in the taxes they pay, while the wealthy reap much larger savings. Families making more than $200,000 will save more than 22% of their tax bill. Those savings jump to more than 40% for households earning more than $1 million a year.

The coalition that passed the Invest in Education Act in 2020 came together this year under the name Invest in Arizona to block the tax cuts. Arizona’s constitution allows for citizens to refer new laws to the ballot for public approval if they gather enough signatures within 90 days of the legislative session’s end, and Invest in Arizona submitted 215,787 petition signatures.

There are other hurdles the Invest in Arizona campaign must overcome before the referral can go to the ballot. The Arizona Free Enterprise Club, a conservative advocacy group, has filed two lawsuits challenging the referendum. The first lawsuit argues that the tax cuts are not subject to citizen referenda, and is awaiting the judge’s ruling following oral arguments on Nov. 5. The second suit, which is on hold pending the outcome of the first case, challenges the validity of the referendum campaign’s signatures.

Initially, the Invest in Arizona campaign sought to stop three laws from taking effect this year: SB1828; Senate Bill 1827, which caps the tax rate at 4.5% for those with incomes greater than $250,000 for individuals or $500,000 for joint filers; and Senate Bill 1783, which creates a new business individual income tax with a 4.5% flax rate that some taxpayers can opt into — and any taxpayers who do so would be exempt from the Invest in Education surcharge.

The coalition didn’t submit signatures to block SB1827, and the effort to refer SB1783 to the ballot failed, missing the threshold by 18,461 signatures.  

Arizona Mirror is part of States Newsroom, a network of news bureaus supported by grants and a coalition of donors as a 501c(3) public charity. Arizona Mirror maintains editorial independence. Contact Editor Jim Small for questions: info@azmirror.com. Follow Arizona Mirror on Facebook and Twitter.

6 replies on “Referendum on Ducey’s income tax cut qualifies for ballot”

  1. This is ridiculous. We can’t elect people to office and then second-guess every decision they make. Let them do their work.

  2. Anasty Beaver wants us to cooperate with whatever stupidity our idiot republicans dream up. They have two goals only: 1- Stay in power &, 2- make their republican peers richer. Whatever the good citizens of this state can do to check their evilness, I’m behind 100% . There are at least two things that stink about the Russian troll Anasty including “her” opinion.

  3. Yo beave, if the legislators are working against with every decision they make,
    then it’s your duty as a citizen to second guess them.

  4. THIS IS BASIC REPUBLICKUNT 101, GIVE TAX CUTS TO EVERYBODY BUT THE WEALTHY WILL GET THE LIONS SHARE EVERY TIME. WHATEVER THE GQP DOES FOR THE WORKING STIFFS THEY WILL DO 3 TIMES AS MUCH FOR THE WEALTHY! HOW MANY PROGRAMS AND BENEFITS FOR THE WORKING CLASS DID DOUCHBAG CUT SO HE COULD BOAST ABOUT THE SURPLUS BILLIONS TO GIVE BACK. NEVER DEPEND ON A REPUBLICKUNT WHEN YOUR LIFE DEPENDS ON IT. EVERY DEFEATED REPUBLICKUT MEANS ONE LESS NAZI!

  5. Has everybody else noticed the new level of anger and foul language being posted in the comments section?

    The FBI should be notified to keep a closer eye for traits of terrorism.

    Does the Weekly report them?

  6. The Repubs were willing to blow-up the entire state income tax system (except for an endless list of special interest tax credits) just because Ducey’s Paradise Valley pals had to pay a little more in taxes. And then they claim that the people have no say at all when it comes to tax cuts for their pals, is the height of arrogance. The voters need to cut this one party Putinesque dictatorship down.

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