There’s little argument that Arizona Republicans got a lot of short-term political gain out of SB 1070 and other exploitation of the immigration issue. But in the long term, it might just come back to haunt them.
Check out this Latino Decisions poll, taken in the wake of the Supreme Court’s SB 1070 ruling and Obama’s administrative mini-Dream Act. Obama has his highest numbers ever in the poll:
Latino Decisions released new national poll of Latino registered voters showing Barack Obama winning 70% of the Latino vote compared to 22% for Mitt Romney. The poll, commissioned by the Center for American Progress Action Fund and America’s Voice, illustrates an increase in support for President Obama, and comes after a month of outreach to Latino voters, starting with the June 15 Dream announcement, appearances by the President and Vice President at NALEO and NCLR conferences, and comments opposing Arizona’s SB1070 immigration law. This poll marks the first time Obama has received 70% of the vote in Latino Decisions polling on the presidential election over the past 20 months.
Obama maintains a substantial lead over Romney within nearly all segments of the Latino electorate. Among foreign-born, naturalized citizens Obama leads 72% to 19% and among U.S.-born Latinos he leads 69% to 25%. Similarly, Obama polls ahead of Romney by a large margin, 76% to 15% among Spanish dominant Latinos, and also has a healthy lead of 66% to 28% from English dominant. Two concerns for Romney may be that 13% of self-identified Latino Republicans say they will cross-over and vote for Obama and 60% of Independents plan to vote for Obama. In contrast only 2% of Democrats say they plan to vote for Romney.
Looking at voters with a validated vote history in 2008 Obama leads Romney 72% to 20%, and Latinos who reside in one of 13 critical battleground states (AZ, CO, FL, IA, IN, MI, MO, NC, NV, OH, PA, VA, WI) lean very heavily towards Obama, 71% to 21% for Romney. The lingering question now, is not whether Obama will win the Latino vote — he is poised to win it big, but rather whether Latino voter turnout matches or exceeds the record levels in 2008, or if Latino enthusiasm will be low and turnout mediocre at best. Even with a big margin among Latinos, if turnout is low Obama could fare poorly in many battleground states where Latinos are a large portion of the electorate.
We still don’t buy Arizona as a swing state this year, but it’s easy to believe that Republicans are steadily driving away Latino voters across the country.
This article appears in Jul 19-25, 2012.
Why don’t you poll the legal hispanics to see what they feel about the illegal hispanics because until then the poll is going to be very one sided. Obama is buying the votes and when he gets what he wants then hang on because he has never kept his word on anything yet except to destroy America.
Your comment above can be easily addressed many ways. First and easiest, you will read in the above article that they did isolate out how Obama polled among US BORN Hispanics. US BORN are citizens my friend and you will see that the overwhelming lead holds true among that group.
Second, no human being is illegal. And we can’t pretend that immigrants come here simply because they are crazy or criminal. There is a clear attraction force at play. Many forces in this country wish to live of the backs of cheap labor. They are the ones engaging in illegal behaviors.
Lastly, if you live in this country, purchase goods in this country, educate children in this country, and even pay taxes in this country (undocumented folks do pay taxes – many indeed have contributions deducted against false SS#, many others have Tax ID, and ALL pay sales taxes)….it stands to debate and discussion whether they should also stand to have a say in how all that is governed. After all, we do claim to be a democracy and one that claims that we all have certain unalienable rights to life, liberty and the pursuit of happiness.
So if you look at polls for 2008 and latino vote:
Hispanics voted for Democrats Barack Obama and Joe Biden over Republicans John McCain and Sarah Palin by a margin of more than two-to-one in the 2008 presidential election, 67% versus 31%, according to an analysis by the Pew Hispanic Center of exit polls from Edison Media Research as published by CNN
This is a direct quote by Pew. So really we’re talking about 4% probably within the margnin of error in either direction. Much ado about nothing.
Instead of voter ID laws, I propose a simple test of reasoning ability to determine who shall vote:
1. Is it possible to start 2 foreign wars while lowering taxes for the wealthy and corporations, without creating a massive deficit? Yes or No.
2. Politician A is responsible for having 1.2 million illegal immigrants deported in 3 years while politician B is responsible for having 1.6 million illegals deported in 8 years. Which politician, A or B, is the one who has more effectively enforced immigration laws?
3. If a person is responsible for a law requiring all people within a state being forced to purchase heath care insurance and later refutes that law upon which a federal law is modeled, is that person:
A, Confused
B. A hypocrite
C. A liar
D. Mitt Romney
E. All of the above
“trainmanswife”, you flunk for what are obvious reasons to any but the mentally challenged (i.e., neo-conservative). “moyla75”, while you seem bright for a pre-teen, you’re obviously too young to be aware of the 2000 election.