With Democratic challenger Joe Biden holding onto a 9 percentage point lead (54%-46%) over President Donald Trump in Arizona, Fox News is calling Biden the winner.

Fox also is calling the U.S. Senate race for Democratic challenger Mark Kelly, who has a 10-point lead over Republican Sen. Martha McSally (55%-45%). Given that McSally was ahead on Election Night in 2018 and then went on to lose the race to Democrat Kyrsten Sinema, it’s not a surprise that Fox isn’t expecting McSally will make a comeback in this year’s election.

This article appears in Oct 29 – Nov 4, 2020.

Getting hassled by The Man Mild-mannered reporter

11 replies on “Fox News Calls Arizona for Biden, Kelly”

  1. The dopers came out to vote and voted for every democrat in sight! 2016 arizona red 2018 arizona turns purple 2020 arizona turns BLUE! Unlike floriduh and texas latinx here really hate republiscum!

  3. As a 75 year resident of AZ, I’m saddened to see how my state is circling the bowl. It’s hard to believe that so many people are so dumb. But Jonathan Gruber attributed the passage of ObamaCare to the “stupidity of the American voter” so I shouldn’t be surprised.

  5. God won’t let Donald Trump lose! He’s the light of the world! He’s going to save all the chilren from the satanic pedophile cabal of democrats!

  6. “Pima County has always been stupid but now Maricopa County is too.”

    Blame it on California. Insanity is doing the same thing over again and expecting different results. Transplanted Californians are insane, they screwed up California with their leftist politics and flee, only to bring their failed politics with them to screw up AZ.

  7. AZ vote count is now changing. Trump picked up 50,000 this morning and there are 540,000 left to count. Biden would need 80% of this to hold his lead. Were we lied to last night? How can this happen?

  8. The trend in Arizona is the same as in various other states that count early ballots before Election Day, the way we do. The first dump of ballots were entirely early/mail-in ballots, which made Dems look like they had bigger leads than they really did, because they dominated the early and mail voting.

    Then votes cast at the polls on Election Day were counted, in which Republicans had a big advantage. This narrowed the count in many races, and flipped some of those Dem leads back to Republicans.

    Lastly, over the next few days, they will finish counting early/mail-in ballots that arrived on or were dropped off on Election Day. This will give Dems another bump at the end of the counting process, as those ballots will skew Dem the same way the other early/mail ballots did.

    All of this makes perfect sense, since Dems put a huge effort into early and mail-in voting, while Tchump’s supporters swallowed the Kool-Aid that the early/mail process shouldn’t be trusted and mostly voted on Election Day.

    The calculus comes in w/r/t how many votes were cast at the polls on Election Day vs. how many were cast early/by mail, and what are the party breakdowns of each set of ballots. The vast majority of ballots were cast early, so it shouldn’t be surprising that the Dems had a big night (actually, probably the biggest night they’ve ever had in AZ political history).

  9. As much as it pains me, according to the Secretary of State’s website, https://results.arizona.vote/#/featured/18… 99% of precincts have reported and approximately 2.8 million ballots have been counted. Biden has an insurmountable lead.

    The outgoing Pima County Recorder, even though a Democrat, has an excellent website where you can track early ballots. https://recorderwebpublicalt.recorder.pima… It’s interesting to see how many dupe ballots were caught. I wonder how many weren’t.

    (When the new unqualified community organizer takes over I expect this will no longer be the case.)

  10. Actually, now it looks like it’s going to be very close. Tchump definitely still has a chance to take AZ.

    For some reason, the ballots dropped off on Election Day in Maricopa County are trending (surprisingly) strongly toward Tchump so far. (Certainly Fox and AP are surprised, and now appear to have called AZ prematurely.) Could be that there was such a heavy emphasis on early voting by the Dems that the vast majority of their people did indeed get their ballots in early, and therefore they’ve already been counted, which would skew the remaining ballots toward the Rs. No way to know for sure if that trend will continue, but if it does, it will just about erase all of Creepy Joe’s lead.

    That leaves the remainder of the ballots that are not from Maricopa. A bunch of them are from Pima, which had a strong advantage for the Ds, so that would blunt the trend in Maricopa to some extent (IF the Pima trend holds, which is not guaranteed), though there aren’t nearly as many ballots remaining in Pima as in Maricopa. The rest are scattered around Arizona.

    In the end, no way to know for sure how the calculus is going to go without knowing where each of the remaining ballots comes from and what the trend is in each of those counties.

    It could easily end up being extremely close in AZ, like maybe even recount territory (0.1%).

Comments are closed.