The latest odds in the race between Congressman Raul Grijalva and Republican challenger Ruth McClung from Nate Silver of The New York Times and fivethirtyeight.com. Details here.
Charlie Cook of the Cook Political Report rates the race a toss-up. Details here.
This article appears in Oct 21-27, 2010.
I’m getting a Scott Brown feeling about this race. I think Charlie Cook has a better hold on this race being a toss up. Nate is a numbers guy and I don’t think he has enough data to show Raul with a solid lead. This is a big red wave election and Grijalva had to make the dumbest political move of the year by boycotting his own district. America loves an underdog and I think the voters of CD7 send a message and vote in McClung.