jhuppent@hotmail.com 
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Re: “The Games BASIS Plays

Don't gloat too much David. As I wrote in my post, BASIS academic gains are at the 97th percentile of all school districts in the U.S. Further, the 3% that had higher gains are overwhelmingly districts much smaller than BASIS and much more likely to be statistical flukes.

Likely, among school districts, its size or larger, BASIS is at the 100th percentile.

Further, BASIS has become the school of choice for Asians in Arizona. From 2013 to 2017, Asians in Arizona leaped from being ranked 11th to being ranked 5th in the nation (National Assessment of Educational Progress).

Likely, BASIS was the driver for that leap.

1 like, 13 dislikes
Posted by jhuppent@hotmail.com on 05/19/2018 at 9:06 PM

Re: “The Games BASIS Plays

"This line of argument would suggest that Yale and Harvard don't belong at the top of America's university rankings. "

Response to Popcontest:

Exactly. One research study examined all those students who were accepted at Harvard but instead went to the local state university. Result? Wages ten years later were the same. As close as you can get to a double blind experiment in education.

Most of our observations in education as to cause and effect are a mirage.

But, BASIS results may or may not be a mirage. The NELS study examined results for 10,000 8th graders all the way on up through adulthood. It found no yield from Advanced Placement exams. Once you compare an apple with an apple, which you can do with these large sample longitudinal studies, the only Advanced Placement class in which AP students outperformed their peers was Calculus.

So, the whole foundation of the U.S. News and World Report ranking is dubious.

When you extract a continuous sample of Arizona students i.e. all 8th-grade students who were with us all the way from 3rd grade, you can do a similar extract for our school system. The continuous BASIS students averaged the 58th percentile in academic gains, a considerable chunk above average, with the average gain on the AIMS being 15 points and AzMerit being 25 points, BASIS came in at 18 points and 30 points, a 20% advantage.

A recent study out of Stanford ranking all the school districts in the nation by Sean Reardon, suggests that such gains would be in the top 3 percent of the nation of school systems.

But, with such a continuous database, you can ask and answer the question- "what were their students' gains when they were at different schools?" Why can you analyze this? Because many BASIS students spend part of their time in other schools, either before they enter BASIS or after they leave.

Answer? 56th percentile, 2 points less than when they were at BASIS.

5 likes, 43 dislikes
Posted by jhuppent@hotmail.com on 05/12/2018 at 8:33 AM

Re: “The Strike Is On: Arizona Teachers Prepared for Walkout Next Week

No, merit pay is not simply tying money to test scores. There is a difference. And guess where most of those higher academic gains came from? Arizona. We had the highest academic gains in the nation from 2011 to 2015.

Our "merit pay plans" are much more comprehensive than simple links with test scores. Gain scores, district parent quality ratings, school quality ratings. Teamwork and individual.

Simply tying money for a teacher to her test scores is a formula for disaster.

2 likes, 22 dislikes
Posted by jhuppent@hotmail.com on 04/24/2018 at 7:11 AM

Re: “The Strike Is On: Arizona Teachers Prepared for Walkout Next Week

"Arizona Teachers should, of course, receive a periodic salary increase that is written in their contract; Based on Merit as indicated by a Standardized Assessment Examination given at each grade level so as to determine that Students are being taught properly and provided with the Academic Skills necessary to move on to the next grade level in achieving their Career Goals."

Nothing has been tried more in education history than tying money to test scores. Hundreds of case studies. Has it ever worked in 150 years? Never when done by itself. If you want to develop a bad school culture- tie money to test scores as your sole performance pay initiative.

The very upper edge of academic gains, top 1%, is 30 points of gain. But, the standard error of that number is huge for a single classroom. One teacher can easily end up in the top 10% of all teachers in one class and the bottom 10% in her other class- same quality, completely different results.

And, that is a little more scientific using gain data, not the raw test scores that you advocate.

Schools have to endure endless cultural assaults from policy makers who are driven by common beliefs of the public.

Be more informed. If you are on this blog, you should be doing better.

Arizona is the only state in the nation with performance pay supported by teachers. Was written right into prop 301- an entire section.

2 likes, 22 dislikes
Posted by jhuppent@hotmail.com on 04/23/2018 at 9:26 PM

Re: “So, What Do People Think About Teachers?

50% of all teachers have always quit by year 5, just when they accumulate the experience necessary to do an above average job. Unfortunately, we have a culture that has been shaped by teachers within a few years of retirement. Thus, those teachers get the lion's share of pay.

The typical teacher can't remotely hope to get the average teacher salary in Arizona of $47,218 (National Education Association Rankings and Estimates).

5 likes, 43 dislikes
Posted by jhuppent@hotmail.com on 04/20/2018 at 6:42 PM

Re: “'Dark Money, Charles Koch, and the UA Freedom Center' Panel Discussion Tuesday at UA

"I never appealed to other people's racism for personal or political gain. "

David, neither have I. Pointing out that the MAS classes were glorifying Che Guevara and that Guevara had 14,000 Hispanics shot in the back of the head can only be construed as racist if you conflate communism with Hispanic culture.

I don't and the Hispanics I grew up with didn't either.

What you do is defend a racist institution every day, every column - the district method of delivering education.

We now know the national numbers to perfection. The top 1% of all districts can't make it happen for Blacks and Hispanics from poverty.

You can soap suds your way around the data any way you like but that is the blunt truth.

We also know that your favorite project, Tucson Unified, can't get on a continuous improvement path necessary to rescue the Hispanics it is responsible for. Their only illusion of improvement comes from students leaving them changing the denominator of the excellence fraction. Less than a half percent per year of improvement. Not detectible year to year.

5 likes, 55 dislikes
Posted by jhuppent@hotmail.com on 04/05/2018 at 4:53 PM

Re: “Class Struggle

This is the business as usual crisis point. The parents of over 14,000 students left you because they are dissatisfied with the quality of their school. Is the school closure going to result in still more dissatisfaction and further defection?

Or, is it somehow going to make you stronger?

I doubt the latter. TUSD's internal surveys show perceptions of excellence rising at about a half of a percent per year. Yet when you compare that number with their student population, you find that the total excellence is flat as a pancake. Actually down a couple thousand students since 2006.

Meaning that the improvement is an illusion, produced solely by dissatisfied parents no longer being in the denominator of the excellence fraction because they left.

The destruction continues.

2 likes, 22 dislikes
Posted by jhuppent@hotmail.com on 04/05/2018 at 1:45 PM

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