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After a new batch of Cochise County votes have been counted, Republican Martha McSally has increased her lead over Democratic incumbent Congressman Ron Barber to 772 votes.

As of last night, McSally led by 363 votes.

We’re told via Team Barber that 1,100 provisional votes remain to be counted in Cochise County.

Here in Pima County, where Barber has been making up the difference with McSally, there are about 14,000 ballots left for the Elections Department to count, as well as roughly 10,000 provisional ballots, according to Pima County spokesman Mark B. Evans.

More numbers when we get them, probably around the end of the day.

Getting hassled by The Man Mild-mannered reporter

9 replies on “CD2 Update: McSally’s Lead Over Barber Grows to 772 Votes”

  1. I would still bet on McSilly at this point, although it will be razor thin.

    She’s gaining about 200 votes per 1,000 ballots in Cochise, which may still be enough to overcome whatever gains the Colonel makes on the remaining Pima ballots, given her substantial lead at the moment.

    The Colonel gained 900 votes on the 16,000 that Pima put in the hopper yesterday, nearly a 6 percent advantage. If he does the same on the remaining 14,000 earlies, he’ll gain about another 800 votes, thus erasing McSilly’s current advantage. Many (most) of the provisionals will be thrown out, but he could gain another 200-300 there, which would be the difference if Cochise were done, but they’re not. In fact, a gain of 200-300 might be about what McSilly could expect from the remaining Cochise provisionals. VERY CLOSE.

    A couple days ago, looking at the sum and location of remaining ballots, I predicted she’d win by 500 votes. It looks like it’ll be much closer than that now, whichever way it goes. Just depends on how many of those provisionals in each county actually count, and how many get tossed. I’d bet on a higher percentage counting in Cochise.

    Either way it looks to be headed for a recount, for which Barber is already soliciting funds.

  2. Good for Cochise Co. Maybe it’s enough to overcome all of these liberals and illegal aliens in Pima Co.

  3. They have been over run because of the open border democrats. It would be so fitting to dump Ron. Once and for all.

    The taxpayer actually pays for the recount, he’s just gathering sympathy, and a little cash right now.

  4. The Colonel? Ron Barber, the Colonel?

    The only Colonel in the race is McSally.

    Funny that the ranchers of Cochise don’t like all the rapes, murders, human trafficking, drug smuggling, child sex exploitation , etc, that happens on THEIR land, as a practical consequence of Pima County and Tucson City Open Border Policy–not to mention all those bleeding heart, “humanitarian” pro-raza liberals living in Tucson who just LOVE providing the Republicans with all that cheap labor to exploit!

  5. So if we secured the border wages would increase. That makes sense. Supply and demand. Why then do democrats try to have it both ways, and in the end get neither?

  6. Pima,and Tucson are little Chicago . When he(the one with the 1.4 million home in ,Mexico he forgot to tell, don’t look like he will win “oh we just found some more votes” There is to many things that don’t add up .

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