Thursday, August 27, 2015

Trump Leads in Latest Poll But No So Much With Latino Voters

Posted By on Thu, Aug 27, 2015 at 2:30 PM

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Another day, another poll showing Donald Trump leading the GOP field. The latest Quinnipiac poll shows that 28 percent of Republican voters are leaning toward Trump, with Ben Carson in second place with 12 percent and everyone else in single digits.

There's plenty of analysis out there about whether Trump can actually win the nomination and why he has caught fire among GOP voters. Pollster Frank Luntz—recently dismissed as a "low class slob" by Trump—is starting to think that nothing will stop The Donald in the GOP primary. Presidential hopeful and U.S. Sen. Lindsey Graham has suggested that if Trump gets the nomination, it's the end of the Republican Party.

A new Gallup poll shows that roughly 2 out of 3 Latinos surveyed have a negative impressive of Trump while only 14 percent approve, creating an astonishing -51 approval rating. But Gallup notes that Trump's rhetoric and actions—including telling reporter Jorge Ramos to "go back to Univision" earlier this week—doesn't seem to be hurting the rest of the GOP brand:
Trump has a highly unfavorable image among U.S. Hispanics, but at least for now, this doesn't seem to be tarnishing the rest of the Republican field. As of mid-August, Bush's image among Hispanics had improved as Trump's immigration positions dominated the news. With Hispanics constituting only a small fraction of the Republican Party, this has not boosted Bush's favorable rating — which has been fairly flat all summer among the Republican base. But, unless his "anchor babies" comment derails him, Bush's recent jockeying with Trump could help warm Hispanic voters to him in the general election should he capture the nomination. For now, Clinton has a modest advantage over Bush in favorability among Hispanics, but she is also much better known than her Democratic competitors.

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