Friday, October 31, 2014

Weekend Before Election Day: Get Your Ground Game Underway

Posted By on Fri, Oct 31, 2014 at 11:59 PM

Dr. Jill Biden, the wife of Vice President Joe Biden, talks with Congressman Ron Barber and Arizona Democratic Party Chairman Bill Roe at Rincon Market as candidates entered the final stretch of Election 2014
  • Jim Nintzel
  • Dr. Jill Biden, the wife of Vice President Joe Biden, talks with Congressman Ron Barber and Arizona Democratic Party Chairman Bill Roe at Rincon Market as candidates entered the final stretch of Election 2014

Halloween was a day of barnstorming across the campaign trail as candidates entered the final weekend before Election Day on Tuesday, Nov. 4.

Congressman Ron Barber was joined by Dr. Jill Biden, the wife of Vice President Joe Biden, for a swing across Tucson that included a quick meet and greet at Rincon Market and a Halloween party at Barber's campaign HQ. Barber, who is facing Republican Martha McSally in one of the most suspenseful races in the country, will be hitting up a canvass launch and a farmers market in Bisbee in the morning and spend the afternoon with supporters in Douglas and Sierra Vista. He'll be back in Tucson to watch the Wildcats game at 7:30 p.m. at Trident Grill, 2033 E. Speedway, with some veterans. On Sunday, he'll be kicking off voter canvass drives across Tucson.

Meanwhile, McSally joined the whole GOP statewide roster—gubernatorial candidate Doug Ducey, Attorney General hopeful Mark Brnovich, Secretary of State nominee Michele Reagan and even the reclusive Superintendent of Public Instruction candidate Diane Douglas—during a swing through Tucson earlier today. She'll also be in Sierra Vista tomorrow and is having a community rally between 3:30 and 5:30 Sunday at Reid Park. McSally plans to spend Monday afternoon down in Douglas.

Sneak Peek: "Zona Politics" Talks About the Hottest Races in Next Week's Election

Posted By on Fri, Oct 31, 2014 at 6:12 PM

Zona Politics Eps.3 from Brink on Vimeo.

On this week's "Zona Politics with Jim Nintzel": Pima County Democratic Party Latino Caucus Chairman Vince Rabago and GOP activist Shaun McClusky break down next week's election: The CD2 rematch between Congressman Ron Barber and GOP challenger Martha McSally; the CD1 showdown between Congresswoman Ann Kirkpatrick and Speaker of the Arizona House Andy Tobin; the Ducey-DuVal race for the governor's seat; Democrat Terry Goddard's focus on dark money in the race against Republican Michele Reagan; the arguments in the attorney general's race between Democrat Felecia Rotellini and Republican Mark Brnovich; and a bunch more. Tune in online here or at 9:30 a.m. Sunday morning on KGUN-9.

"Abortion and Guns[are] Issues Rarely the Subject of Meaningful Legislation"? Seriously?

Posted By on Fri, Oct 31, 2014 at 4:30 PM

The Range gave Demitri Downing space to rebut my posts about the race for the two House seats in Legislative District 9. I've maintained that people who object to right wing stances against abortion rights and sensible gun regulation shouldn't be voting for self-described moderate Ethan Orr. Giving Demitri a chance to air his views is fine by me. He has the right to his opinion, and I've had this space pretty much to myself when it comes to the LD-9 race. But you know that old saying about being entitled to your own opinions, not your own facts? Well, Demitri makes one assertion as fact which is so jaw-droppingly incorrect, I can't let it go unchallenged:

The Democratic Party, acting according to their nature to sting Republicans, has focused solely on two “fear” issues, abortion and guns — issues rarely the subject of meaningful legislation. [Boldface added for emphasis]

Abortion and guns are "rarely the subject of meaningful legislation," Demitri? Seriously? Meaningful bills related to abortion and guns are staples of state legislatures across the country, especially where Republicans are in the majority, and Arizona's Tea Party-led legislature is no exception. It's possible, I suppose, that Downing doesn't know the meaning of the word "meaningful." But if he does, his wildly inaccurate statement makes me wonder if he believes the rest of what he writes about Orr's effectiveness in Phoenix, or if he really believes Orr would have any influence at all with his Republican colleagues if he were given another two years, seeing as how his patron, Jan Brewer, would be gone — face it, DuVal and Ducey just aren't that into Ethan — and he'd go up there with "RINO" stamped on his forehead because of his votes with Brewer on Medicaid and the budget.

There's simply no question about it, Arizona has seen plenty of meaningful legislation on guns and abortions over the past few years. Here are some of the highlights — or lowlights, depending on your point of view.

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Sunday, Funday: Body Love Conference Pop-Up Clothing Swap

Posted By on Fri, Oct 31, 2014 at 3:30 PM

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Those amazing women champions of body love are back, Sunday, Nov. 2, from 11 a.m. to 2 p.m. for a pop-up clothing swap to benefit the Body Love Conference at the YWCA, 525 N. Bonita Ave. If you've been to a clothing swap in the past then you understand the concept—bring some clothing and accessories that are in good condition and swap them for clothes that you want.

That's what's going on here, but first, look, these are good folks, led by Body Love Conference found Jes Baker, so that means this is not just a basic swap but an amazing body love celebration and party, too. And all proceeds benefit the next Body Love Conference in the planning stages for 2015.

In the body love tradition, this is a swap for women of all sizes, and it sounds like a great place to hang out with your friends trying on clothes in a body positive atmosphere. Personal stylists are going to be on hand (you know, your friends could be clueless), to help you out with ideas and encouragement. There will also be professional make-up artists, hair stylists and photographers to capture you at your best.

If you bring items to swap, cost is $8, and if you just want to shop, it's a $15 admission. There will also be local crafters and jewelry designers on hand in a special pop-up shop just for the occasion. All leftover clothing not swapped will be donated to the YWCA program Your Sister's Closet, which provides women reentering the workforce with several professional outfits for job interviews and that new job.

More info on the conference and swap, visit www.bodyloveconference.com.

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Here's a Hip-Hop Halloween Mixtape for Your Enjoyment

Posted By on Fri, Oct 31, 2014 at 3:00 PM

Atlanta music writer Ethan Padgett put together a Soundcloud (mostly) Southern rap mixtape for Halloween that's possibly not for everyone, but if you want to hear some Three 6 Mafia and Waka Flocka Flame horror-themed tracks, go ahead and push play.

The tracklist is below the cut.

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Here Are a Few of Your Halloween Entertainment Options Tonight

Posted By on Fri, Oct 31, 2014 at 1:30 PM

Halloween is one of those nights where everyone seems to go out costumed-up to get a drink and Tucson's bars and nightclubs have gone all in on the sorta-holiday, especially Club Congress, which went for a week's worth of events. There are many, many options out there for you, person likely dressed as something involving Ebola, but my three favorites this year are at the Rialto, Flycatcher and Tap & Bottle.

The Rialto is going for a lineup of local music with their Spooky Prom, which also has the bonus of being all-ages. Starting at 7 p.m. for $5, you can see Ghostal, Sun Bones, Numb Bats, Neon Eon, Prom Body and an evening-ending DJ set by Altrice. Plus, because you're required to with these things, there's a costume contest, plus free candy, a photobooth and more. Solid deal all around. For more info, head to rialtotheatre.com.

Also $5, the Flycatcher is hosting "Werewolf Bar Mitzvah," which features costume contests every hour starting at 10 p.m., indoor and outdoor entertainment, plus a Daft Punk tribute. More info at theflycatchertucson.com.

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If you want to save the $5 you were going to spend at the Rialto or Flycatcher on admission, head over to Tap & Bottle for their second annual evening "dressing up" the bar as another Tucson watering hole. Last year, it was the Meet Rack, this year, it's the Red Room. Yes, they'll have tater tots, but also a lineup of acts that will be familiar to fans of the late venue next to Grill, including Dante Rosano, Hank Topless, Amy Rude, Golden Boots and more. The event kicks off at 7 p.m. More info at thetapandbottle.com.

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What Happens If You Have a Problem Voting?

Posted By on Fri, Oct 31, 2014 at 12:00 PM

I must provide an explanatory disclaimer for this column. It was written in a fugue state triggered by a relentless onslaught of campaign ads, eyes locked in a fixed stare, eerie music in the background, and visions of dark hordes of American-hating terrorists rolling into my carport and opening fire on the laundry room with shoulder-launched rockets. At election time, reality becomes elusive, and words don’t always mean what they say. Oh yeah, and electoral commentary laws require me to include this bit: “I’m Randy Serraglio, and I approve this column.”

This year’s electoral trouble started on primary day, which happened to be my birthday. I thought, Gee, isn’t this great—the gift of democracy—what could be better? Then I choked down the rest of my scotch and tottered over to the polling place….

Wait—did I say “scotch”? I’m sorry, I must have misspoken, or mistyped, or mis-something. I meant “orange juice.” I was definitely drinking OJ that day. Those words sound very similar, so I can see why you might have misinterpreted my position on this issue. Also, that statement was taken out of context—I was probably discussing the butterscotch scone I may have eaten that day. You see, “scotch” without the “butter” means something very different, doesn’t it? No worries, it’s a totally understandable mistake. Yes, clearly it was “milk” that I meant to say all along, because milk makes America strong.

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NYT/CBS/YouGov Poll: Ducey 49%, DuVal 40%

Posted By on Fri, Oct 31, 2014 at 11:04 AM

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The New York Times/CBS News/YouGov poll released this week has bad news for Democrat Fred DuVal: Republican Doug Ducey has a 9 percentange point lead, according the survey taken Oct. 16-Oct. 23.

The breakdown in the poll is fascinating: Ducey is getting 56 percent of men, while DuVal is getting just 36 percent. Women are breaking pretty evenly, with 44 percent going with DuVal and 43 percent going with Ducey.

And check out the generation gap: DuVal gets 54 percent of voters 18 to 29 years old, while Ducey gets just 33 percent. And DuVal gets 53 percent of voters aged 30 to 44, while Ducey gets 37 percent. But as the electorate skews older, Ducey finds a lot more support: Among voters 6-plus, Ducey lands the support of 61 percent, while DuVal gets just 32 percent.

There's a race factor at work, too: Ducey gets the support of 53 percent of the white voters, while DuVal gets the support of just 37 percent. DuVal has a lead among Hispanic voters, but not by as big a margin: Duval has the support of 48 percent, while Ducey has the support of 42 percent. That's remarkably close, given that Ducey has indicated that he'd continue anti-Latino policies such as denying driver's licenses to DREAMers while DuVal has said he'd have a DREAMer lead the pledge of allegiance at his inaugural.

A poll is, as always, just a snapshot in time and other surveys have shown a closer race. But unless Democrats can get out younger and non-white voters, Republicans will probably have a good statewide showing on Tuesday.

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