Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Rocky Mountain Poll: Cain & Romney Tied Among AZ Republicans; Obama Leads GOP Candidates in AZ. Also: CNN Screws Up AZ Story

Posted By on Wed, Oct 26, 2011 at 1:42 PM

CNN reports:

A new survey of Arizona Republicans indicates that Mitt Romney and Herman Cain are tied at the top in the race for the GOP presidential nomination.

And a Rocky Mountain Poll released Wednesday also indicates that President Barack Obama holds a slight advantage over three possible Republican challengers in hypothetical 2012 general election matchups.

Arizona may be more of a player in the battle for the Republican nomination, as the state has moved up the date of its primary to February 28. CNN and the Arizona Republican party are holding a debate in the state on November 30. The state may also be competitive in the general election.

According to the survey, 25% of Arizona Republicans say if the state's primary were held today, they would vote for Cain, a businessman, former Godfather's Pizza CEO and radio talk show host, with 24% saying they would back Romney, the former Massachusetts governor, who's making his second bid for the White House. Cain's one point margin is well within the survey's sampling error.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry is at 10%, with all other candidates in single digits and one in five Arizona Republicans undecided.

Also:


The survey indicates that Obama holds a 45-40% margin over Romney in a hypothetical general election showdown, with Obama holding 44-38% advantage over Perry and a 45-38% advantage over Cain. All of Obama's margins are within the poll's sampling error.

Two points:

1. We have a degree of skepticism about Rocky Mountain polls in particular and about any poll this early in general.

2. Why is CNN reporting that Arizona "moved up" the presidential primary? In 2012, it's Feb. 28. In 2008, it was Feb. 5. Is this part of the crack reporting we can expect from the big guys in the national media?

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