Monday, November 1, 2010

CD8: Nate Says Odds Are in Giffords' Favor

Posted By on Mon, Nov 1, 2010 at 4:53 PM

Screen_shot_2010-11-01_at_4.53.00_PM.png

Sure, Nate Silver is off on the East Coast somewhere, crunching numbers for every congressional race, so there's plenty of reason to think that he could be way off on this one. But he keeps boosting Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords' odds of victory tomorrow, although he sees a tight race.

Here on the ground, it sure seems like a toss-up to us—and we reckon that much still depends on who gets out to vote tomorrow.

BTW, we wouldn't be surprised if we were still counting votes into the weekend.

More of Nate's thoughts on what we're likely to see tomorrow here, including this potential nightmare scenario for the Democrats:

Dawn breaks over New York City on Wednesday, Nov. 3. Democrats catching the early train to work are thinking about adding a little whiskey to their morning coffee. Because the headlines they are reading are truly terrible.

Not only did Republicans take over the House, but they also did so going away — winning a net of 78 seats from Democrats. Seven seats in New York State changed hands; so did six in Pennsylvania, five in Ohio and four in North Carolina. Party luminaries like Jim Oberstar and Raul Grijalva were defeated. Barney Frank and Dennis Kucinich survived, but they did so by just 2 points apiece, and their elections weren’t called until 1 a.m. Democrats picked up just one Republican-held seat — the open seat in Delaware — but Joseph Cao somehow survived in his very Democratic-leaning district in New Orleans. Virtually every race deemed to be a tossup broke to the Republican.

Comments (2)

Showing 1-2 of 2

Add a comment

 
Subscribe to this thread:
Showing 1-2 of 2

Add a comment

Previously in the Range

More by Jim Nintzel

Today | Sat | Sun | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu
Hip Hop Yoga

Hip Hop Yoga @ Floor Polish

Saturdays, 11:30 a.m.-12:30 p.m.

All of today's events | Staff Picks

Staff Pick

Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum Cool Summer Nights

Beat Arizona heat and enjoy a family-friendly outing during the Desert Museum’s Cool Summer Nights. The stunning… More

@ Arizona-Sonora Desert Museum Saturdays, 5-10 p.m. Continues through Sept. 2 2021 N. Kinney Road.

» More Picks

Submit an Event Listing

Popular Content

  1. The Weekly List: 13 Things To Do In Tucson In The Next 10 Days (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)
  2. Flake Takes a Turn To the Right (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)
  3. Dr. Word Says: Trump Tries His Hand at Poetry (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)
  4. Tour Diaries! XIXA Day 5: Winston Watson Weighs In on Some Stinks! (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)
  5. Community Unites to Support India Oven (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)

© 2017 Tucson Weekly | 7225 Mona Lisa Rd. Ste. 125, Tucson AZ 85741 | (520) 797-4384 | Powered by Foundation