Friday, April 2, 2010

Daily Kos: J.D. Hayworth Crushes Giffords/Glassman/Walden

Posted By on Fri, Apr 2, 2010 at 6:11 PM

Rasmussen recently had J.D. Hayworth just 7 percentage points behind U.S. Sen. John McCain in this year's GOP primary. McCain's camp had said its polls have him up by 20 points.

Daily Kos puts McCain closer to reality at 15 points.

Another interesting tidbit:

On the general election front, we tested two fairly well-known but undeclared Democrats (former Governor Bruce Babbitt and Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords). We also tested the two declared Democrats (Rodney Glassman and Nan Stockholm Walden), who are much less well-known. The two declared candidates are unknown to the majority of the electorate, although both clearly have substantial upside (Glassman, for example, already does as well, or better, than Congresswoman Giffords).

The bottom line? The Democrats become competitive, if Hayworth somehow manages to score a victory in the GOP primary:

And this detail:

For this poll, we also tested a new question about the recently passed health care reform package. Would voters prefer a candidate who supports the reform package, or a candidate who would work to repeal it? In ancestrally conservative state of Arizona, which is also one of the most skewed states demographically when looking at age, "repeal" advocates lead supporters by a relatively narrow margin (44-39).

Read the whole thing here.

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