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Re: “TUSD Enrollment, 2000 to 2016, Part 2

jhuppent: I agree with almost everything you wrote. TUSD's capture ratio (share of TUSD resident children who enroll in TUSD) is about 65%, the lowest among Arizona's large districts. Enrollment at the other large districts has stabilized on average, while ours still falls. Our administrative spending percentage is 2.5% higher than the average for the other large districts, which equates to $11 million. We can do much better. The "good" news about the capture ratio is that there is much upside. Nobody does better than about 85%, but I believe that TUSD could gain 5,000-10,000 students back by improving the quality of its product. I agree that Chandler's management stands out among Arizona's large districts. TUSD could learn much from them. I think that Gilbert provides another strong example.

4 likes, 4 dislikes
Posted by Mark Stegeman on 07/29/2016 at 9:09 AM

Re: “TUSD Enrollment, 2000 to 2016, Part 2

Mark,
If you took the simple step of tying all your leadership pay to the people side of the business and to excellence, the district would heal and strengthen at a much faster pace.

Last time I looked at TUSD numbers, about 25% of parent rated the quality of their child's education excellent. This means that 75% of your parents are open to other choices. The same is true for your teachers- about 25% rate their school an excellent place to teach.

These two numbers are ground zero for the battle to improve academic gains and for winning back your students. Get TUSD to 60% and student losses stop. Get TUSD to 70% and you grow back to 60 thousand students.

Get focused enough and TUSD can improve at 7 percentile points a year. Public education as a whole has dropped from 36% to 24% in the last four years, about the lowest number in 47 years of measurement. The typical Arizona charter school is in the 40s.

The Chandler Unified School district is at 75% after working on this for 18 years.

5 likes, 6 dislikes
Posted by jhuppent@hotmail.com on 07/29/2016 at 8:17 AM

Re: “Desert Angel

Whether you are for illegal immigration or not (I'm not), you have to admire the sympathy and love that Joel has for his fellow human beings. Not everyone out there suffering in the desert is a criminal in the sense that they are coming here to hurt others or take up criminal activity. I believe that immigration and citizenship should take place through legal channels, but I can understand how some are desperate for a better life. Can you really say that you like the fact that there are children and desperate parents dying in the desert? Those are the individuals that Joel is trying to help and I applaud his efforts.

15 likes, 1 dislike
Posted by Joy Hall Colmerauer on 07/29/2016 at 7:48 AM

Re: “TUSD Enrollment, 2000 to 2016, Part 2

I agree with the previous poster. It's a blog so I know it's just for fun, but without at least taking the step of converting these numbers to a percentage of school-age children within the district, the numbers are 100% meaningless and not a single conclusion can (or should) be drawn.
If I missed those numbers I apologize.

7 likes, 0 dislikes
Posted by bslap on 07/29/2016 at 6:50 AM

Re: “Review: Hillary’s America: the Secret History of the Democratic Party

D’Souza dived back in history??? "everyone will find one or two tidbits of information"??? That's funny stuff there. Then again there may be some actual information but good luck separating the information from the bullshit.
Hoffman, did you write this review on a bet? Are you OK? Are you being held somewhere against your will?

16 likes, 5 dislikes
Posted by bslap on 07/29/2016 at 6:40 AM

Re: “TUSD Enrollment, 2000 to 2016, Part 2

1) It is more meaningful to look at percentage declines. They paint a gloomier picture, though the current declines are still better than the big declines that occurred immediately after the two big rounds of school closures.
2) The data reported here do not match the numbers reported by the State Auditor General. In some cases the discrepancy is small and in other cases large. The 2015-16 decline is not yet available from the Auditor General, but in the previous year the decline was 857 (1.8%), not 826.

9 likes, 0 dislikes
Posted by Mark Stegeman on 07/29/2016 at 6:36 AM

Re: “Review: Hillary’s America: the Secret History of the Democratic Party

For an another review check out: 'Hillary's America' Review: Dinesh D'Souza's Latest Documentary is Republican Propaganda At Its Dumbist.
www.indiewire.com/2016/07/hillarys-america…

13 likes, 7 dislikes
Posted by Dave Gallagher on 07/29/2016 at 6:22 AM

Re: “Desert Angel

The placement of some water tanks in the desert doesn't convince anyone to try to illegally immigrate to the US. They are convinced by the conditions and circumstances they are in prior to making the mortally dangerous trek. The majority of Americans don't understand that kind of desperation, but it's an extremely impoverished soul that believes attempting to illegally immigrate should be punished by death.

What Mr. Smith is doing is leaving water in designated, legally mandated areas so that those who are desperate enough to risk their lives trying to make it into the US don't die from lack of water. Humane Borders and Mr. Smith are operating both lawfully and humanely.

Also, due to lack of imagination and reasoning skills, it seems to have entirely alluded those of you who are in opposition to the water tanks that they are known by border patrol and actually provide a means of concentrated traffic by which border patrol can anticipate and apprehend those who are desperate enough to have to use them. They are simply life saving measures that actually aid both the human life of the immigrant and border patrol.

13 likes, 1 dislike
Posted by Natasha Moon on 07/29/2016 at 6:06 AM

Re: “Desert Angel

Larry, the article states if he gives them a ride he will be aiding and abetting. The fine is high and he could.go to jail. So he's doing what he can that is legal.

15 likes, 2 dislikes
Posted by Rita Cabello on 07/29/2016 at 5:54 AM

Re: “Review: Hillary’s America: the Secret History of the Democratic Party

Well, that was earnest... It's not really a crime if D'Souza does it and it's not really not a crime if Clinton does it. Got it.

11 likes, 6 dislikes
Posted by Jimmy Zuma on 07/29/2016 at 5:52 AM

Re: “Review: Hillary’s America: the Secret History of the Democratic Party

This review is as twisted and academically immature as your writing skills are. I will never get the hour and twenty-seven minutes or so of my life back. I wonder if a movie such as this revisited the Trump ticket from the REAL Republican ticket through the reason he feel being orange makes any sense whatsoever. You are an embarrassment to the Libertarian party as it sits.

22 likes, 10 dislikes
Posted by Michael Forgey on 07/29/2016 at 4:21 AM

Re: “Dead on Arrival

"Ramis makes an appearance as well in one of the movie's few inspired moments."

But I thought he was dead. Wait, a dead star making an appearance in "Ghostbusters"...that got very meta very fast.

Unless, of course, they just pulled an Ed Wood and cut some old unused footage of him into a new film.

Posted by Ex-Arizonan on 07/29/2016 at 1:44 AM

Re: “Review: Hillary’s America: the Secret History of the Democratic Party

I don't know what's creepier, CW13; the fact that you actually keep a running tally of likes and dislikes, or that you're trying to time-manage me.

15 likes, 7 dislikes
Posted by Peabo on 07/28/2016 at 11:43 PM

Re: “Review: Hillary’s America: the Secret History of the Democratic Party

You're welcome! As for the time between posts, that was what's called living in the real world. 'night, tiger.

14 likes, 6 dislikes
Posted by Peabo on 07/28/2016 at 11:36 PM

Re: “TUSD Enrollment, 2000 to 2016, Part 2

I think it's great that you're interested in these numbers but this is far from a real statistical analysis. Using the term "significantly" is misleading because the word "significant" is a term of art in statistics. When something is statistically significant it's because the numbers have been analyzed using actual statistical models (like a regression model). You can also isolate variables to actually look at the data at a much deeper level and make much stronger inferences about what's going on and answer more questions. Which students are leaving? What areas of the town are they leaving from the most? Are actions TUSD is taking slowing the decline in enrollment or are there other factors at play? Did the economic crisis influence student mobility?

You're just making a very broad and vague statement/generalization with a few raw numbers that may or may not have any actual significance. The district should commission a study and do just that.

10 likes, 1 dislike
Posted by JD on 07/28/2016 at 9:51 PM

Re: “TUSD Enrollment, 2000 to 2016, Part 2

Not even filling the seats with illegals can stem the flood of students fleeing TUSD. How much destruction can Adelita Grijalva and H.T. Sanchez commit on our school system?

6 likes, 9 dislikes
Posted by What, Again on 07/28/2016 at 9:39 PM

Re: “The Skinny

I don't know. If I was Ally, I'd be all...whoop whoop tweedly-dee. Aoogah, aoogah, blip blop, biddly biddly zim zala bim.
Then I'd be all...dooba dooba dooba dee.
Then I'd pick myself up off the asphalt and go Gabba Gabba Hey! And call it a day.
Just sayin'.

6 likes, 1 dislike
Posted by Peabo on 07/28/2016 at 9:33 PM

Re: “Review: Hillary’s America: the Secret History of the Democratic Party

Keep 'em coming!

11 likes, 8 dislikes
Posted by Peabo on 07/28/2016 at 9:22 PM

Re: “Editor's Note

Just like Ross Perot gave us Bill ( Knob Job) Clinton. Thanks Ross.

2 likes, 9 dislikes
Posted by CW13 on 07/28/2016 at 9:19 PM
Posted by Peabo on 07/28/2016 at 9:10 PM

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