Nate Silver at the New York Times gives Congresswoman Gabrielle Giffords slightly better odds in his latest forecast on the CD8 race, while Isaac Wood of Sabato's Crystal Ball moves it from "leans Democrat" to the toss-up category. Wood's analysis:
AZ-8 is a race that Democrats insist is salvageable, as incumbent Gabrielle Giffords has received some support from conservative sources and faces a political newcomer with Tea Party ties in Jesse Kelly. Kelly’s huge fundraising haul and energized supporters, however, show that he is not to be taken lightly. This will be a closely contested race on slightly Republican turf, and given Gifford’s slim wins in heavily Democratic years, this may be her toughest challenge yet.
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Clint Smith is a teacher, writer, and doctoral candidate in Education at Harvard University studying incarceration, education,… More