Friday, April 30, 2010

New Poll: Brewer Out Ahead of GOP Opponents in AZ Gov Race

Posted By on Fri, Apr 30, 2010 at 9:16 AM

Public Policy Polling wraps up Arizona week with an examination of the GOP nomination for governor. Gov. Jan Brewer is looking good, as long as Maricopa County Sheriff Joe Arpaio doesn't decide to run:

Six months ago it looked like Jan Brewer would have a very difficult time winning nomination to a full term as Governor of Arizona. Now in the wake of signing a controversial immigration measure popular with conservatives she looks like a strong favorite.

Brewer leads the Republican pack with 38% to 19% for Buz Mills, 16% for Dean Martin, and 3% for John Munger. Her approval rating with primary voters stands at a positive 52/30 spread, a 34 point improvement on the margin since September when it was a negative 28/40. The improvement in her standing with conservatives has been particularly dramatic, going up 52 points from 30/42 in the fall to now 60/20.

38% in the primary still isn't a particularly impressive standing for a sitting Governor but she is being helped quite a bit by the fact that she has so many opponents, effectively splitting the still sizable anti-Brewer vote.

Brewer's opponents are pretty much an unknown to

likely primary voters, and they could pick up more support once they are able to more broadly introduce themselves to the electorate. 61% have no opinion about Mills, 63% are ambivalent toward Martin, and Munger is really anonymous with 86% of voters expressing no feelings toward him one way or the other.

One thing that could confound Brewer's hopes for renomination is if Joe Arpaio decided to make a last second entry into the race. He is by far the most Republican in the state with primary voters. 70% of them view him favorably to only 22% with a negative opinion, and he leads Brewer 33-25 as a prospective candidate.

For now though Brewer has improved her position significantly so far in 2010, and has to be seen as a very strong favorite for renomination.

Tags: , , , , , ,

Comments

Subscribe to this thread:

Add a comment

More by Jim Nintzel

Staff Pick

Raise a Glass and Raise an Eyebrow Wine Tasting

Raise a Glass for Cats! Raise an Eyebrow when you see our 2017 Firefighters and Kittens Calendar.… More

@ CataVinos Wine Shop and Tasting Room Sun., Sept. 25, 4-6 p.m. 3063 N. Alvernon Way.

» More Picks

Submit an Event Listing

Popular Content

  1. CM Punk and the UFC: Dishonorable and Disrespectful (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)
  2. 'TUSD Kids First' Amasses $35,000 War Chest From Large Donations (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)
  3. Song of the Day: 'The Jones' by John D. Loudermilk (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)
  4. Looking So Long At These Pictures Of You: Remembering Wendy Van Leuveren (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)
  5. McCain and Kirkpatrick Split on AZ Min Wage Prop (The Range: The Tucson Weekly's Daily Dispatch)

© 2016 Tucson Weekly | 7225 Mona Lisa Rd. Ste. 125, Tucson AZ 85741 | (520) 797-4384 | Powered by Foundation